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DOLAR-EURO PARİTESİNİN REEL EFEKTİF DÖVİZ KURU ÜZERİNDEKİ ETKİSİ: TÜRKİYE İÇİN BİR ANALİZ

Year 2018, Volume: 1 Issue: 2, 72 - 77, 30.06.2018

Abstract

Bu amaca ulaşmak için, dolar-euro paritesi kur
savaşlarının temsilcisi olarak kabul edilmekte ve etkisinin ölçülmesi için reel
efektif döviz kuru kullanılmaktadır.
Devalüasyon, ekonomi
politikalarının sert önlemlerinden biri olmakla birlikte, eğer bazı güçlü
ülkeler rekabetçi ticari fayda elde etmek için devalüasyon uygularsa, bu
politika kur savaşına yol açabilir. Kur savaşları, gelişmiş ülkeler tarafından
başlatılmasına rağmen, Türkiye gibi gelişme yolundaki ülkeler de etkilenebilir.
Çalışmanın amacı, kur savaşlarının Türkiye ekonomisine dolaylı etkisini VAR
modeli ile analiz etmektir.

References

  • Berüment, H. & Dinçer, N. (2005). Denomination Composition of Trade and Trade Balance: Evidence from Turkey. Applied Economics, 37 (10), 1177-1191.
  • Berüment, H. & Yücel, M. (2008). Effects of USD-Euro Parity on A Small Open Economy: Evidence From Turkey. Applied Economics, 40(16), 2165-2174.
  • Bordo, M., Jonug, L. (2001). A return to the convertibility principle? Monetary and fiscal regimes in historical perspective. The internal evidence. European Economy- Economic Papers 2008- 2015, No. 159, Directorate General Economic and Financial Affairs (DG ECFIN), European Commission, Retrieved December 21, 2017, from [https://EconPapers.repec.org/RePEc:euf:ecopap:0159].
  • Clarida, R. (1999). G3 Exchange Rate Relationships: A Recap of the Record and a Review of Proposals for Change, Group of Thirty Occasional Papers, No. 59.Esquivel, G. & Larraín, F. (2002). The Impact Of G-3 Exchange Rate Volatility On Developing Countries, G-24 Discussion Papers, No. 16, United Nations Conference on Trade and Development, United Nations Publications.
  • Hamilton, J. D. (1994). Time Series Analysis. Princeton: Princeton University Press.
  • MacDonald, R. (2007). Exchange Rate Economics Theories and Evidence. New York: Routledge.
  • Reinhart C. & Reinhart V. (2001). What Hurts Most? G-3 Exchange Rate or Interest Rate Volatılity, National Bureau of Economic Research, 8535.
  • Rickards, J. (2013). Currency Wars: The Making of the Next Global Crisis, (Çev: N. Domaniç ve N. Avhan). İstanbul: Sacala Yancılık (Özgün Çalışma 2011).
  • Saatcioğlu, C. & Karaca, O. (2010). Dolar/Euro Paritesinin Türkiye İhracatına Etkisi: Ekonometrik Bir Analiz. Niğde Üniversitesi İ.İ.B.F Dergisi, 3 (2), 106-118.
  • Sims, C. A. (1980). Macroeconomics and Reality, Econometrica, 48(1), 1-48.
  • Spatafora, N. (2003). How concerned should developing countries be about G-3 exchange rate volatility, World Economic Outlook, USA: International Monetary Fund, 92–111.
  • Kocakale, Y. & Toprak, H. (2015). Türkiye’nin Reel Efektif Doviz Kuru Endekslerinin Güncellenmesi (No. 1506), Research and Monetary Policy Department, Central Bank of the Republic of Turkey.
  • Yücel, M. (2005). 3+1 Essays on the Turkish Economy. Unpublished Ph.D. Dissertation, Bilkent University, Ankara.
Year 2018, Volume: 1 Issue: 2, 72 - 77, 30.06.2018

Abstract

References

  • Berüment, H. & Dinçer, N. (2005). Denomination Composition of Trade and Trade Balance: Evidence from Turkey. Applied Economics, 37 (10), 1177-1191.
  • Berüment, H. & Yücel, M. (2008). Effects of USD-Euro Parity on A Small Open Economy: Evidence From Turkey. Applied Economics, 40(16), 2165-2174.
  • Bordo, M., Jonug, L. (2001). A return to the convertibility principle? Monetary and fiscal regimes in historical perspective. The internal evidence. European Economy- Economic Papers 2008- 2015, No. 159, Directorate General Economic and Financial Affairs (DG ECFIN), European Commission, Retrieved December 21, 2017, from [https://EconPapers.repec.org/RePEc:euf:ecopap:0159].
  • Clarida, R. (1999). G3 Exchange Rate Relationships: A Recap of the Record and a Review of Proposals for Change, Group of Thirty Occasional Papers, No. 59.Esquivel, G. & Larraín, F. (2002). The Impact Of G-3 Exchange Rate Volatility On Developing Countries, G-24 Discussion Papers, No. 16, United Nations Conference on Trade and Development, United Nations Publications.
  • Hamilton, J. D. (1994). Time Series Analysis. Princeton: Princeton University Press.
  • MacDonald, R. (2007). Exchange Rate Economics Theories and Evidence. New York: Routledge.
  • Reinhart C. & Reinhart V. (2001). What Hurts Most? G-3 Exchange Rate or Interest Rate Volatılity, National Bureau of Economic Research, 8535.
  • Rickards, J. (2013). Currency Wars: The Making of the Next Global Crisis, (Çev: N. Domaniç ve N. Avhan). İstanbul: Sacala Yancılık (Özgün Çalışma 2011).
  • Saatcioğlu, C. & Karaca, O. (2010). Dolar/Euro Paritesinin Türkiye İhracatına Etkisi: Ekonometrik Bir Analiz. Niğde Üniversitesi İ.İ.B.F Dergisi, 3 (2), 106-118.
  • Sims, C. A. (1980). Macroeconomics and Reality, Econometrica, 48(1), 1-48.
  • Spatafora, N. (2003). How concerned should developing countries be about G-3 exchange rate volatility, World Economic Outlook, USA: International Monetary Fund, 92–111.
  • Kocakale, Y. & Toprak, H. (2015). Türkiye’nin Reel Efektif Doviz Kuru Endekslerinin Güncellenmesi (No. 1506), Research and Monetary Policy Department, Central Bank of the Republic of Turkey.
  • Yücel, M. (2005). 3+1 Essays on the Turkish Economy. Unpublished Ph.D. Dissertation, Bilkent University, Ankara.
There are 13 citations in total.

Details

Primary Language Turkish
Journal Section Makaleler
Authors

Most Gulnahar Banu

N. Oğuzhan Altay

Publication Date June 30, 2018
Submission Date July 23, 2018
Published in Issue Year 2018 Volume: 1 Issue: 2

Cite

APA Banu, M. G., & Altay, N. O. (2018). DOLAR-EURO PARİTESİNİN REEL EFEKTİF DÖVİZ KURU ÜZERİNDEKİ ETKİSİ: TÜRKİYE İÇİN BİR ANALİZ. Mersin Üniversitesi Sosyal Bilimler Enstitüsü Dergisi, 1(2), 72-77.